Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c2e3df85564bd4ca9fa9bc73fd1916f5c43e5e9786d0dee450d2a944bfb86c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 63c | 14,627$9,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.99 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 39c | 12,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 61c | 10,647$6,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.33 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,853$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,003$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 875.48$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.69 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f74…558dbacked No | 61c | 682.71$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 559$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.69 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 61c | 533$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.87 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 62c | 180.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 151.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No | 60c | 140.5$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 91.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 31.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked No | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
- Will Kilmarnock FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.