Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x840de0ef3e1a7ace531db3072a2393d6f5751fa4bd14d308e435a33f4b518384
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 12c | 70,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 41,316$4,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,757.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 11c | 33,158$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 12c | 22,897$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.67 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 12c | 13,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 11c | 11,584$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 12c | 10,246$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.11 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 11c | 9,971$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 11c | 8,945$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 11c | 7,511$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.49 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 11c | 6,982$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 12c | 6,296$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.46 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 11c | 5,827$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 11c | 5,347$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 10c | 3,347$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.95 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 11c | 3,337$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.07 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 12c | 2,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 12c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 11c | 1,700$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 13c | 1,687$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.81 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 1,613$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 9c | 1,570$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 11c | 1,476$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.62 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…47eebacked No | 16c | 1,450$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 11c | 1,424$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked No | 10c | 1,322$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 17c | 1,222$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.74 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 11c | 1,200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 11c | 852$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 9c | 804.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 13c | 699.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 98 | 11.2%11 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 557$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x704f…b859backed No | 11c | 523.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 7c | 396.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 11c | 391$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 13c | 234.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked No | 12c | 229$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 12c | 222$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…51d0backed No | 13c | 198.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 13c | 180.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 12c | 180.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed No | 10c | 156$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 17c | 149.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 11c | 127$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 10c | 124$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed No | 19c | 82.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2025-12-28?No won
- Will Sporting CP vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.