NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85978c0e9afad3be5e49d8ea3a6f906f3920386db34a321a5e58e87680a3d245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Ducks, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Kings | 55c | 19,602$10,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,820.85 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Kings | 54c | 16,294$8,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,549.85 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 2c | 9,862$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.29 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 54c | 9,386$5,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.65 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 44c | 8,601$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.07 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 0c | 8,211$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Ducks | 45c | 6,579$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.55 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Ducks | 1c | 6,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 46c | 5,215$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.01 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 2c | 5,139$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Ducks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Kings | 55c | 4,405$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.25 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kings | 54c | 4,285$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.88 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…b4c7backed Ducks | 4c | 4,132$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ducks | 45c | 3,880$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.64 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Kings | 56c | 3,800$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks | 46c | 3,478$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.88 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 47c | 3,000$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.52 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Ducks | 46c | 2,766$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.4 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ducks | 3c | 2,520$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 46c | 2,098$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.8 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 59c | 2,032$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.13 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd8…62f5backed Ducks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…52c8backed Kings | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 54c | 1,983$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.56 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 55c | 1,965$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.23 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ducks | 46c | 1,950$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kings | 55c | 1,727$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.27 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Ducks | 3c | 1,097$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Ducks | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 55c | 1,006$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.64 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ducks | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Kings | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kings | 55c | 947.33$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.34 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Ducks | 4c | 849.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Kings | 55c | 827.27$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.27 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Kings | 56c | 822.93$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.09 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kings | 56c | 783.21$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.61 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Ducks | 46c | 666$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.36 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae8…3ee1backed Ducks | 3c | 619.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Kings | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Ducks | 44c | 555$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ducks | 46c | 551$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Kings | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Kings | 55c | 449.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.49 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Ducks | 45c | 444.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Ducks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Kings | 55c | 375.06$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Ducks | 45c | 350$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Kings | 55c | 345$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Ducks | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Kings | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Ducks | 45c | 288.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…cd5dbacked Kings | 54c | 286.65$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ducks | 5c | 277.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…aa5fbacked Kings | 54c | 269.3$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Ducks | 19c | 265$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Ducks | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Kings | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 77c | 234.7$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Ducks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…73adbacked Ducks | 46c | 225.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Ducks | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267f…202bbacked Ducks | 46c | 222.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…e2a1backed Ducks | 46c | 221.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 20c | 220.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Ducks | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb268…cd60backed Ducks | 46c | 217.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Ducks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Ducks | 5c | 216$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Kings | 56c | 209.29$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Ducks | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Kings | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Ducks | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Kings | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Kings | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Kings | 55c | 194.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…4cdebacked Kings | 54c | 193.38$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…17d6backed Kings | 54c | 189.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…d049backed Kings | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…0f02backed Kings | 55c | 179.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Ducks | 45c | 159.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Kings | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Ducks | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Ducks | 35c | 122.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Kings | 54c | 111.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…527bbacked Ducks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Kings | 57c | 105.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ducks | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Ducks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Kings | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Kings | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Ducks | 19c | 94.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Kingsthis page
- Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.