NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02942abc702e025b47d291f520a34b8cc497de9d577a968a8fd7a927c4a86454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Kings | 38c | 368.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.42 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Ducks | 62c | 368.42$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.42 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Ducks | 68c | 155.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Ducks | 67c | 141$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Ducks | 67c | 132$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 67c | 108$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Ducks | 33c | 108$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Ducks | 33c | 108$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ducks | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Ducks | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9584…d3a0backed Kings | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Kings | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Kings | 32c | 90$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Kings | 32c | 89.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Ducks | 67c | 87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Kings | 66c | 81.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Ducks | 67c | 78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Ducks | 67c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Ducks | 67c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Ducks | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Kings | 33c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Kings | 33c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 68c | 42.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Kings | 33c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Ducks | 65c | 38.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Ducks | 66c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Kings | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Kings | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Kings | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Kings | 34c | 34.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Kings | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Kings | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Kings | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Ducks | 67c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Ducks | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Kings | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Ducks | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Ducks | 67c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Ducks | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Ducks | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ducks | 64c | 16.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…f4afbacked Ducks | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Ducks vs. KingsKings won
- Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.