Will Morocco win on 2025-12-29?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9808e86915dd5fca3fd7adbe815538fd75b296c8c97e40ecf93884dc5f62f02e

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,036,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,363,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,036,086 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37e4…c991backed No	18c	126,451$22,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,503.67	163	31.9%52 W · 111 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No	18c	100,055$18,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,011	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No	17c	67,072$11,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,331.47	147	32%47 W · 100 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	17c	45,787$7,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,799.61	168	35.1%59 W · 109 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	15c	42,533$6,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,576.01	281	33.1%93 W · 188 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No	17c	18,150$3,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,085.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No	18c	18,000$3,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,239.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	17c	16,298$2,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,764.86	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaddc…ed0dbacked No	21c	6,702$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	17c	6,500$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104.74	287	54.7%157 W · 130 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No	17c	6,400$1,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071.99	236	22%52 W · 184 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No	18c	6,032$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090	93	22.6%21 W · 72 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	18c	6,001$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.18	214	44.9%96 W · 118 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No	18c	5,555$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.9	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No	17c	5,403$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.54	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No	18c	4,600$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828	86	31.4%27 W · 59 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No	15c	4,533$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	192	24.5%47 W · 145 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	16c	4,234$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.71	359	42.9%154 W · 205 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	17c	3,411$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.06	211	40.3%85 W · 126 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	15c	3,365$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.51	293	43%126 W · 167 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes	79c	2,335$1,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.26	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No	18c	1,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	11c	1,219$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.67	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No	17c	1,104$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.69	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No	19c	700.24$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.86	210	16.7%35 W · 175 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed No	20c	653.99$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.8	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes	79c	640$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.4	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No	18c	601.11$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.2	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No	19c	598.83$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.78	203	22.7%46 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed No	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	247	32.4%80 W · 167 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No	19c	361.64$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.71	145	37.2%54 W · 91 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No	17c	298.78$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.75	346	30.1%104 W · 242 L	-21.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No	6c	290$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.72	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes	78c	250$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.48	218	50%109 W · 109 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No	28c	250$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.2	136	54.4%74 W · 62 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No	17c	240$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No	18c	239.69$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.11	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	17c	209.64$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	184	52.7%97 W · 87 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No	18c	182$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.76	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No	17c	180$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-13.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No	19c	166.5$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.37	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No	15c	160$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.3	237	38.8%92 W · 145 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed No	18c	159.05$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.08	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed No	19c	152.61$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.56	70	30%21 W · 49 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No	19c	149.94$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.49	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No	23c	149.26$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	396	21%83 W · 313 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked No	19c	142.9$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.77	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed No	18c	133.6$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.05	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	17c	120$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	423	52%220 W · 203 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd953…29cabacked No	18c	114.06$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed No	20c	110.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	55	30.9%17 W · 38 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No	17c	90$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	464	53.2%247 W · 217 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No	17c	90$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	397	49.9%198 W · 199 L	-16.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef9b…be51backed Yes	80c	86.81$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	26c	86$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No	15c	84.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed No	18c	82.6$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.03	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed No	36c	81.94$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed No	19c	78.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked No	18c	78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	18c	74$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	167	55.1%92 W · 75 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No	18c	72$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No	18c	72$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	130	50.8%66 W · 64 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691e…cbbbbacked Yes	80c	70$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d8…682abacked No	18c	61.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed No	21c	59.23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.44	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes	64c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed No	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	74c	36$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.39	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…b858backed Yes	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Yes	77c	21.5$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.86	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf899…79cabacked Yes	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd262…806abacked Yes	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Morocco win on 2025-12-29?this page
Will Zambia vs. Morocco end in a draw?No won
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-29?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Morocco win on 2025-12-29?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event