TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes43c38,017$16,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,583.530634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c28,058$16,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,771.561,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes36c27,655$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,655.21241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No61c16,897$10,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,277.612648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c10,298$6,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,029.924,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No56c5,717$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.439459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No62c3,821$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.6921957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.987424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No59c1,996$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.429053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No58c1,259$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.3474657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5779…489fbacked Yes67c1,180$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.96944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes37c1,088$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.142536%9 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No58c1,050$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.2679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes39c1,038$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.697844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No59c874.88$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.3725248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes40c870$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.2728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes49c735.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.995125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes35c720.92$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.821641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes39c675.61$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.9828543.2%123 W · 162 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed No58c656.5$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.912462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes41c650.8$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.23043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Yes44c626.16$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.651145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4eb…5857backed Yes45c619.72$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.342030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33615250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes42c586.13$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.622835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes34c579.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.777534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes65c569.44$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.065644.6%25 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Yes33c543.18$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes51c539.66$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.713,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No28c498$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4410441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No56c420$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.231751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No60c405.65$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7329946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No25c404$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0584939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No58c399.98$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.999545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes44c378.63$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.051070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.627652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No56c351.46$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5318152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes74c322.27$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4821842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No58c304.81$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes41c288.04$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.318433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d9…1f75backed Yes35c286.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes42c262$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.43135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes43c260$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5317744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14011137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No56c240$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.443255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No56c240$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.421849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No56c240$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.414244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No57c233$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.819353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c2f…8d38backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5610437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.564440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes70c226.43$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8555941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No56c210$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.617648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes48c207.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.163756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes36c206.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.645040%20 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+59.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1303259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No54c192.41$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2957252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes53c188.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0320047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No56c171.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8414950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Yes43c165$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.051361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.522030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.57631.6%24 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes34c147.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.945056%28 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No57c140.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1511448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.896845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Yes35c137.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.744136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb7d…d9dfbacked No58c132.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.671250%6 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.29247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.220652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.419750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.29945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.220250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.219652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.416151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.211346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.219951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.220949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.218551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.825551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No56c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.819053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No56c119.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7919352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0514233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No59c118.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7662258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No59c117.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.672638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes43c116.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.296639.4%26 W · 40 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2817643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x927b…3735backed Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+68.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.647045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes35c105.17$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.171844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588341%34 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.