La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar win on 2025-12-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33ad6bb1c6cd3b71f92b7aef06dd89a340db62780b8cbce63538879e29d5d6a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 69c | 7,002$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.48 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 9c | 5,429$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.2 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 2,209$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.77 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 30c | 1,669$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.88 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 6c | 738.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 26c | 609.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.43 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 29c | 600.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 475.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 67c | 255.92$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 27c | 174.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 28c | 143.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 138.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 132.69$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 38c | 132.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Yes | 25c | 89.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…31cabacked Yes | 32c | 80.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 68c | 79.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Yes | 29c | 52.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…f3f2backed No | 72c | 30.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Yes | 34c | 30.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar win on 2025-12-16?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-16?Yes won
- Will SD Eibar vs. Elche CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.