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La Liga · resolved market

Will SD Eibar vs. Elche CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x908a…ad16backed Yes29c1,280$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.6855941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes33c606.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No67c511.77$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8821957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes20c399.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.96728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes28c384.08$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0975157.3%430 W · 321 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No70c377$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.98433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5613824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed No77c260.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.271866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes33c229.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes29c212$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.483548.6%17 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No58c199.1$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.829134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes41c188.82$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4210441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4935…4662backed Yes40c166.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed No72c162$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Yes29c145$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.053537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Yes29c145$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.053234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes30c142.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1579133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Yes29c136$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.442045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c128.84$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.361,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Yes29c127$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.272454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No80c114.81$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3321842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes28c113.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.27334.2%25 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes21c104.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Yes29c104$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.161833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ee…31cabacked Yes31c102.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8550%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Yes29c98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.421643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9830634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes21c95.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Yes29c93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.972157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Yes29c88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.522937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Yes29c87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.234254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes29c81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.492740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Yes30c79.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.812050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked No71c79$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.911963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed No71c77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.331942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked No71c73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No68c71.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.329946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes28c71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8828558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Yes29c68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.721154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Yes29c62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.982147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+58.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Yes29c61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.691040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Yes29c59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.111136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c58.69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.464,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Yes26c56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.563240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked No71c55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.95757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes28c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9430…97cebacked No71c51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes24c50.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed No72c48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe91…4462backed No71c47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-53.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed No71c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed No71c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.051758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed No71c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.761457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked No71c43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.47650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked No71c43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.471172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc32f…cb35backed Yes33c42.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.96825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No72c41.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.753378.8%26 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc17…53b6backed No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes29c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0253246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed No71c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…0730backed Yes29c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66f7…2894backed No71c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked No71c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.441163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed No71c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.441050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes28c35.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0143157.8%249 W · 182 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked No71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.154100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed No71c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.861070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed No71c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed No71c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.571250%6 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes54c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.822965.5%19 W · 10 L+7.1wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked No71c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed No73c29.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.832462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed No72c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.121181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+64.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed No74c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed No71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.3wins-0.47per pick62cpaid-79.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf26c…3443backed No71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked No71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked No71c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed No71c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.831060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed No71c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.54560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked No70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked No71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed No72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc07…e9f2backed No71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.251266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1a…ad50backed No71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed No71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed No71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+49.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked No71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed No71c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.381361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2614…1000backed No71c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.09944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61675%12 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x888b…8f3fbacked No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked No71c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38ee…012fbacked No71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed No71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.221040%4 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed No71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed No71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.