TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

New Mexico Lobos vs. Boise State Broncos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boise State Broncosof New Mexico Lobos, Boise State Broncos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdddc…ced2backed New Mexico Lobos37c7,353$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.137839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6d…0926backed Boise State Broncos67c5,858$3,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.473834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Boise State Broncos68c5,034$3,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.2961652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Boise State Broncos74c3,597$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.093,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd059…2a48backed New Mexico Lobos6c3,422$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico Lobos32c2,416$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.815,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Boise State Broncos59c2,237$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.162,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed New Mexico Lobos33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6606443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked New Mexico Lobos26c1,906$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed New Mexico Lobos20c1,745$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.5255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed New Mexico Lobos15c1,387$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.42,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb83a…6bfcbacked New Mexico Lobos15c1,332$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed New Mexico Lobos47c1,280$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.121533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked New Mexico Lobos20c1,208$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.025,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed New Mexico Lobos5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed New Mexico Lobos33c897$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.662,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Mexico Lobos30c798.82$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.21,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed New Mexico Lobos39c774.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos65c663.34$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.754,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked New Mexico Lobos39c604.33$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.861,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked New Mexico Lobos31c599.55$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.861,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed New Mexico Lobos17c561.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8648051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed New Mexico Lobos14c549.67$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.543,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Boise State Broncos62c522.93$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.93540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked New Mexico Lobos16c511.51$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.961216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico Lobos31c482.12$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Boise State Broncos77c381.01$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8110757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked New Mexico Lobos5c360.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5611743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked New Mexico Lobos31c360.86$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8752928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed New Mexico Lobos69c289.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Boise State Broncos76c265.05$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.612277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed New Mexico Lobos62c233.6$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14419237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed New Mexico Lobos26c231.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1136845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked New Mexico Lobos61c210$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5811560%69 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked New Mexico Lobos35c209$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1132343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed New Mexico Lobos38c189$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7145644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Boise State Broncos68c186$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.524841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed New Mexico Lobos22c182$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.61,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed New Mexico Lobos42c176.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Boise State Broncos69c169$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.396648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed New Mexico Lobos32c151$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.325541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Boise State Broncos67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+109.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed New Mexico Lobos33c149.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8773549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Boise State Broncos59c147.24$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.881,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42bf…30f7backed New Mexico Lobos45c144.89$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.711030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Boise State Broncos70c128.7$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0620051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked New Mexico Lobos32c107$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.246253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Boise State Broncos34c102.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9423941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed New Mexico Lobos43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4319238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Boise State Broncos67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3325438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked New Mexico Lobos32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed New Mexico Lobos58c79.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.451,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Boise State Broncos67c75.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Boise State Broncos67c73.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.385253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7678…937bbacked Boise State Broncos69c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Boise State Broncos68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.44537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed New Mexico Lobos32c66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.126950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed New Mexico Lobos32c63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.165942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf673…a9a3backed New Mexico Lobos67c58.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed New Mexico Lobos34c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.72,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed New Mexico Lobos32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163450%17 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked Boise State Broncos68c49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.682532%8 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-39.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed Boise State Broncos68c46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.722245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked New Mexico Lobos31c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.644266.7%28 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Boise State Broncos68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.052,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed New Mexico Lobos32c43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.763652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa848…68fcbacked Boise State Broncos70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.862646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed New Mexico Lobos33c42.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked New Mexico Lobos31c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.022650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked New Mexico Lobos32c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.123063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed New Mexico Lobos32c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.942236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Boise State Broncos68c39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.484148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Boise State Broncos68c39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.483161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Boise State Broncos68c38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.164348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed New Mexico Lobos32c38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.163158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Boise State Broncos70c36.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.023969.2%27 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed New Mexico Lobos31c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.853250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Boise State Broncos68c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.885851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Boise State Broncos68c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.563053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5f…b793backed Boise State Broncos68c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.562751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Boise State Broncos68c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.923154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Boise State Broncos68c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.964047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Boise State Broncos68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed New Mexico Lobos61c24.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Boise State Broncos68c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.363464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x806c…3381backed Boise State Broncos68c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.041952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…7b68backed Boise State Broncos70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Boise State Broncos68c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.724156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x749b…48d8backed Boise State Broncos68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed Boise State Broncos68c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.082356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Boise State Broncos68c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.765152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef5e…4c1dbacked Boise State Broncos74c17.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Boise State Broncos68c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.123762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Boise State Broncos68c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.123372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x080f…c226backed Boise State Broncos68c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.121833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Boise State Broncos68c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.123363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.