TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohio

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ohioof UNLV Runnin', Ohio
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$468,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$462,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8a8…a48ebacked UNLV Runnin'71c79,545$56,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,401.358236.6%30 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed UNLV Runnin'25c69,864$17,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,46216234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1894…9720backed UNLV Runnin'48c69,633$33,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,505.011040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ohio48c66,158$31,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,558.8558850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Ohio75c65,121$48,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,280.1919362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Ohio29c57,679$16,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,952.262347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed UNLV Runnin'46c27,921$12,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,745.2813933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Ohio28c21,765$6,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,599.612528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UNLV Runnin'39c18,862$7,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,300.9862843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Ohio80c17,212$13,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,495.463250%16 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Ohio62c15,195$9,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,718.754841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UNLV Runnin'30c13,750$4,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,067.421538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Ohio30c12,473$3,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,731.111849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Ohio29c12,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,519.954429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Ohio29c10,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,10039954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ohio64c9,555$6,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,487.6619842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed UNLV Runnin'34c6,744$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.9920553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed UNLV Runnin'30c5,689$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.164841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ohio29c5,409$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,842.032,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed UNLV Runnin'49c4,407$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1502060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed UNLV Runnin'70c3,975$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.4129351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked UNLV Runnin'31c3,841$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.7468440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked UNLV Runnin'70c3,815$2,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.2817946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Ohio53c3,809$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.478749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Ohio40c3,471$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.421637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Ohio30c3,391$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.784643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Ohio30c3,320$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.9721055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UNLV Runnin'26c3,146$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.8726940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Ohio4c3,000$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8802722.2%6 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick2cpaid+841.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed UNLV Runnin'71c2,869$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0372441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Ohio30c2,803$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.9965945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Ohio65c2,384$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.882548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Ohio55c2,200$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.315451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed UNLV Runnin'45c2,170$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.541040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ohio45c2,103$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.6140244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed UNLV Runnin'36c1,991$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7203432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UNLV Runnin'29c1,804$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.7857144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked UNLV Runnin'29c1,744$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.842857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Ohio31c1,602$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.1713845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Ohio8c1,500$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3861338.5%5 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.30per pick8cpaid+333.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8857…f34ebacked Ohio8c1,500$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick7cpaid+341.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4d8…a851backed UNLV Runnin'71c1,459$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed2…e7ccbacked Ohio29c1,458$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Ohio71c1,418$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.395137.3%19 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Ohio17c1,371$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.278629.1%25 W · 61 L+15.2wins+0.18per pick11cpaid+361.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Ohio30c1,258$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.243138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed UNLV Runnin'44c1,223$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Ohio30c940.13$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.0921348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Ohio10c900$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813944.4%4 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.36per pick8cpaid+385.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked UNLV Runnin'48c874.95$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.24641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed UNLV Runnin'24c842.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed UNLV Runnin'6c837.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Ohio60c826.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.946753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ohio29c821$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.9152641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed UNLV Runnin'18c811$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2821644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Ohio30c800$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56042244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Ohio31c700$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48313444%59 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked Ohio9c700$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6371540%6 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.29per pick11cpaid+300%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Ohio29c700$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49725629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked UNLV Runnin'70c673.99$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.850358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Ohio28c649.99$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.9913531.9%43 W · 92 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c5c…b86dbacked Ohio31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.16933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed UNLV Runnin'43c574.43$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2492729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed UNLV Runnin'52c542.69$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.28627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0dc…f68fbacked Ohio79c532.82$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.89785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick74cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1e…f3afbacked UNLV Runnin'47c529.42$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked UNLV Runnin'70c520.45$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.323345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked UNLV Runnin'70c507.16$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.013354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked UNLV Runnin'70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Ohio2c500$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick2cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Ohio29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3557254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a32…8635backed Ohio29c490$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2121…6127backed Ohio30c470$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3292100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+170.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed UNLV Runnin'60c451.07$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2709250%46 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed UNLV Runnin'70c446.18$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.977642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa637…bacfbacked UNLV Runnin'71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed UNLV Runnin'33c414.03$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.639048.9%44 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9226…ad48backed UNLV Runnin'70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Ohio30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2807445.9%34 W · 40 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x079f…db87backed UNLV Runnin'13c373.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Ohio68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.657867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked UNLV Runnin'70c336.34$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.444131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Ohio30c335$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.513253.8%71 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3874…d903backed UNLV Runnin'71c320$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed UNLV Runnin'70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Ohio29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21313242.4%56 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked UNLV Runnin'70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked UNLV Runnin'28c285.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804250%21 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed UNLV Runnin'71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed UNLV Runnin'44c281$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.582020%4 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe77f…e59abacked UNLV Runnin'24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fd…1fd8backed UNLV Runnin'64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked UNLV Runnin'53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10618338.8%71 W · 112 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked UNLV Runnin'27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.997145.1%32 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Ohio30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked UNLV Runnin'70c198.57$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1398078.8%63 W · 17 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Ohio31c187.1$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.13141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf795…4b3ebacked UNLV Runnin'71c170$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82fb…e6c5backed UNLV Runnin'71c166$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa3…d257backed Ohio29c166$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.