College Football · resolved market
Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x593b01dfedfae5d6c0b1994aabf3bef6a193df08ea99be4757a0f1508b391ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohioof UNLV Runnin', Ohio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UNLV Runnin' | 50c | 52,128$26,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,064.4 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Ohio | 50c | 25,404$12,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,703.82 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Ohio | 50c | 24,233$12,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,116.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ohio | 52c | 3,170$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.76 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ohio | 50c | 2,461$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.5 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UNLV Runnin' | 48c | 2,043$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.64 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ohio | 54c | 1,285$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UNLV Runnin' | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Ohio | 37c | 640$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.4 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed UNLV Runnin' | 51c | 600$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked UNLV Runnin' | 51c | 340.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UNLV Runnin' | 48c | 283.54$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed UNLV Runnin' | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed UNLV Runnin' | 80c | 245$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.45 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin' | 48c | 208.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UNLV Runnin' | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Ohio | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed UNLV Runnin' | 46c | 184.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Ohio | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Ohio | 49c | 135.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Ohio | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Ohio | 47c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Ohio | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Ohio | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.4wins | +0.42per pick | 51cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Ohio | 48c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Ohio | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Ohio | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Ohio | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Ohio | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked UNLV Runnin' | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Ohio | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Ohio | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked UNLV Runnin' | 53c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed UNLV Runnin' | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ohio | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed UNLV Runnin' | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed UNLV Runnin' | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed UNLV Runnin' | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)this page
- O/U 66.5Under won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)Ohio won
- UNLV Runnin' vs. OhioOhio won
- UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohio: 1H MoneylineOhio won
- UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohio: O/U 64.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohio: O/U 65.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.