College Football · resolved market
O/U 66.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a35b6990df1806416104714857149bcb2ddc79fabde28d24b82f932e9a2eed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 53c | 15,020$7,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,059.4 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 12,950$6,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,344.33 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 9,327$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,570.15 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 4,267$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.15 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 2,378$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.35 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 54c | 2,080$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.53 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Over | 45c | 2,000$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.25 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 1,951$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.86 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Under | 58c | 1,728$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.59 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 53c | 1,726$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.42 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Under | 58c | 689.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 42c | 685.72$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 351.02$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…027cbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 164$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 113.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 58c | 112.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -7.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Under | 52c | 88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Under | 57c | 80.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…7976backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 66.5this page
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)Ohio won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)Ohio won
- UNLV Runnin' vs. OhioOhio won
- UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohio: 1H MoneylineOhio won
- UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohio: O/U 64.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohio: O/U 65.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.