NFL · resolved market
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x296eea6d45f3491c999f8313116e6e5eeed7819468572eccb6a78acc4e80dc33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Lions, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Steelers | 44c | 56,875$25,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,850 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Lions | 56c | 50,500$28,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,280.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Steelers | 47c | 14,447$6,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,689.48 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Lions | 53c | 14,000$7,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,420 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Steelers | 44c | 10,240$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,739.58 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Lions | 55c | 10,107$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lions | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Steelers | 48c | 4,582$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.51 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lions | 57c | 4,305$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.87 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Steelers | 42c | 3,745$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.89 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Lions | 58c | 3,442$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Steelers | 44c | 3,328$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.39 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Lions | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lions | 51c | 2,517$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.12 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Steelers | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lions | 57c | 1,742$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.94 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Steelers | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Steelers | 43c | 1,271$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.45 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked Steelers | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Steelers | 41c | 1,015$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.62 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Steelers | 43c | 999.97$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.48 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lions | 52c | 807$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.34 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lions | 57c | 709.97$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.08 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Steelers | 44c | 706.81$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.86 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Lions | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Lions | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Steelers | 42c | 599.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Steelers | 43c | 504.27$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.43 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Lions | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Lions | 53c | 471.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Lions | 58c | 466$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.28 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Lions | 59c | 463.55$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.29 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Lions | 45c | 439.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Steelers | 45c | 428.89$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.89 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Steelers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Steelers | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Lions | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Steelers | 42c | 399.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Lions | 52c | 379.92$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Steelers | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Steelers | 44c | 351.49$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.05 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Steelers | 46c | 325.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.01 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Lions | 8c | 322.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…7ababacked Lions | 53c | 299.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Lions | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Lions | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Steelers | 45c | 226.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lions | 53c | 210.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Steelers | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Steelers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Lions | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…b4b0backed Lions | 57c | 175.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…00e9backed Lions | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Lions | 59c | 172.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Lions | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Lions | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Lions | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lions | 60c | 160.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Steelers | 43c | 150.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Steelers | 47c | 149.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Steelers | 45c | 142.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Steelers | 43c | 140.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Steelers | 42c | 137.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190b…2f3abacked Lions | 54c | 129$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc61…9d15backed Steelers | 47c | 129$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Steelers | 41c | 127.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Steelers | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…f554backed Steelers | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Steelers | 47c | 124.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Steelers | 45c | 119.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Steelers | 42c | 114$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Steelers | 43c | 112.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Lions | 54c | 112$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Steelers | 45c | 111.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Lions | 59c | 107.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…c942backed Lions | 58c | 106.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Lions | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Steelers | 44c | 101.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Steelers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Lions | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Lions | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Lions | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Steelers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…5058backed Lions | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Lions | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Steelers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lions | 55c | 94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Lions | 57c | 87.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Lions | 54c | 86.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Lions | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…c341backed Lions | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Lions | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1945…5ba1backed Lions | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Steelers | 47c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…8d18backed Steelers | 44c | 68.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Lions | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f34fbacked Steelers | 44c | 60.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Lions | 58c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Lions | 54c | 57.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3f0abacked Steelers | 44c | 56.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)Steelers won
- Steelers vs. LionsSteelers won
- Steelers vs. Lions: 1H O/U 26.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 49.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 50.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 51.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.