TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Lions (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Steelersof Lions, Steelers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38b…5029backed Steelers44c56,875$25,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,85019553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Lions56c50,500$28,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,280.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Steelers47c14,447$6,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,689.4886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Lions53c14,000$7,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4202740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Steelers44c10,240$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,739.585149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Lions55c10,107$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60018140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Lions56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Steelers48c4,582$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.5173651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lions57c4,305$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.8753348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Steelers42c3,745$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.8983147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Lions58c3,442$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Steelers44c3,328$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.3975852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Lions59c2,542$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lions51c2,517$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.1250242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Steelers42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4504944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Lions57c1,742$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.9422450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Steelers41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8857530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Steelers43c1,271$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.4531240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16bc…110bbacked Steelers44c1,250$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Steelers41c1,015$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.6214837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Steelers43c999.97$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.4865048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lions52c807$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.3464747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lions57c709.97$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.0847348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Steelers44c706.81$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.861,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Lions55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38518744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c77…6282backed Lions59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Steelers42c599.98$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.9926648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Steelers43c504.27$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4311254.5%61 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Lions53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26513448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Lions53c471.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.997545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Lions58c466$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.2814641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf34f…4d6ebacked Lions59c463.55$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.294647.8%22 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Lions45c439.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006738.8%26 W · 41 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Steelers45c428.89$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.896647%31 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked Steelers47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.536536.9%24 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Steelers43c418.6$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.610547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Lions53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21211752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Steelers42c399.98$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.992532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Lions52c379.92$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5614248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Steelers42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.143447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Steelers44c351.49$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0534652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Steelers46c325.95$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.012748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Lions8c322.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.185721.1%12 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b56…7ababacked Lions53c299.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.994060%24 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Lions58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14519240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Lions58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1457526.7%20 W · 55 L-12.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-51.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Steelers45c226.16$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3956852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Lions53c210.03$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3217648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Steelers43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142650%13 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Steelers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10613347.4%63 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Lions56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210454.8%57 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…b4b0backed Lions57c175.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005869%40 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda58…00e9backed Lions57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Lions59c172.88$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa4e0…22d2backed Lions58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Lions58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…930fbacked Lions59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005156.9%29 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Lions60c160.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.768446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Steelers43c150.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8619439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe64…873ebacked Steelers47c149.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.495154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Steelers45c142.18$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.216551.5%85 W · 80 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Steelers43c140.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.120944.5%93 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Steelers42c137.61$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.812462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x190b…2f3abacked Lions54c129$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc61…9d15backed Steelers47c129$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Steelers41c127.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.388349.4%41 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Steelers43c125$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2524547.8%117 W · 128 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x205c…f554backed Steelers48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Steelers47c124.23$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.844146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Steelers45c119.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.996752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Steelers42c114$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1277052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Steelers43c112.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.343930.8%12 W · 27 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Lions54c112$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.483043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f6…f838backed Steelers45c111.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.178052.5%42 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Lions59c107.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.285265.4%34 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x69bc…c942backed Lions58c106.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.024346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Lions58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604040%16 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ff5…50eabacked Steelers44c101.02$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.023046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Steelers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4451…c6afbacked Lions57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574032.5%13 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Lions55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5518245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Lions58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5817459.2%103 W · 71 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Steelers44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133e…5058backed Lions59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591020%2 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-59.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Lions58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5812050.8%61 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Steelers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539651%49 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Lions55c94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.535648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d15…6914backed Lions57c87.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.789054.4%49 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Lions54c86.04$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4610142.6%43 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Lions59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012843%55 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66bc…c341backed Lions59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Lions59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016946.7%79 W · 90 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1945…5ba1backed Lions59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Steelers47c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.713844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…8d18backed Steelers44c68.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.164245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Lions59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012245.9%56 W · 66 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x196a…f34fbacked Steelers44c60.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.733033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Lions58c59.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5913751.8%71 W · 66 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Lions54c57.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1329439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5d…3f0abacked Steelers44c56.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.854748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.