Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60df799529c728083a7c43768ea1a6355d5d014b920a362d5c100d8fd0e7f58d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adelaide Strikersof Adelaide Strikers, Brisbane Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Adelaide Strikers | 57c | 8,278$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.44 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Brisbane Heat | 43c | 6,754$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Brisbane Heat | 46c | 3,546$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.34 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Brisbane Heat | 5c | 2,428$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Brisbane Heat | 36c | 2,078$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.79 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Adelaide Strikers | 62c | 1,656$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.43 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Adelaide Strikers | 58c | 1,470$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.52 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Brisbane Heat | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Adelaide Strikers | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Adelaide Strikers | 55c | 1,037$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.61 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa7…cf57backed Brisbane Heat | 42c | 954$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brisbane Heat | 43c | 815.51$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.68 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Brisbane Heat | 45c | 799.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Adelaide Strikers | 69c | 747.66$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.87 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Brisbane Heat | 31c | 634.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d13…a448backed Adelaide Strikers | 58c | 633$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Adelaide Strikers | 54c | 590.99$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brisbane Heat | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Brisbane Heat | 43c | 489.56$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Brisbane Heat | 3c | 457.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb06e…7f1cbacked Adelaide Strikers | 58c | 321$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Brisbane Heat | 4c | 299.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Adelaide Strikers | 54c | 290.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Brisbane Heat | 21c | 270$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c41ebacked Brisbane Heat | 46c | 253.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…db63backed Brisbane Heat | 11c | 222.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7f…53e2backed Brisbane Heat | 25c | 201.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Adelaide Strikers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Adelaide Strikers | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Adelaide Strikers | 66c | 172.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 329 | 46.2%152 W · 177 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Brisbane Heat | 25c | 157.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Brisbane Heat | 14c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Adelaide Strikers | 56c | 144.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Brisbane Heat | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97c…dc12backed Brisbane Heat | 41c | 123.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Brisbane Heat | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Brisbane Heat | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Brisbane Heat | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Adelaide Strikers | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Adelaide Strikers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…ec4abacked Brisbane Heat | 27c | 78.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Brisbane Heat | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Brisbane Heat | 44c | 73.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Adelaide Strikers | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Brisbane Heat | 47c | 49.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Brisbane Heat | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Adelaide Strikers | 57c | 32.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…8a3abacked Adelaide Strikers | 62c | 24.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Adelaide Strikers | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 202 | 62.9%127 W · 75 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Adelaide Strikers | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.