Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8036457e1e56f5ac953854f4ea0296b2e72f8ec2c0c2109be8be16b742dbbf79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 15,091$7,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,905.26 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 53c | 8,490$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.7 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 48c | 6,773$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 47c | 3,830$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.72 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 53c | 3,514$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.61 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 45c | 2,421$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.29 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 1,846$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.83 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 1,335$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.03 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,231$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.71 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 1,225$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.63 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 30c | 861.27$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.13 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 640.04$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.01 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 51c | 509.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 46c | 326$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 49c | 307$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 50c | 300.9$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.66 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 69c | 242.54$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 48c | 232$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 71c | 230.48$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 36c | 206.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 197.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…9075backed Yes | 71c | 130.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 33c | 124.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 22c | 119.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 47c | 119.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…1362backed Yes | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 59c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…dbf0backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 47c | 86.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 35c | 84.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 70.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 51c | 30.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed No | 53c | 30.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 72c | 27.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…fb0dbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.