NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd421a7d82038edf685f90353de046af89a1dd1c1f460807d70da65293f8967a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Kings, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $610,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $611,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $610,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Avalanche | 69c | 260,000$179,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,599.98 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Kings | 31c | 203,108$62,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,963.46 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Kings | 33c | 110,497$36,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,185.46 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 31c | 55,581$17,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,230 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Avalanche | 68c | 50,000$34,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,800 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…6b51backed Avalanche | 68c | 44,150$30,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,128 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Avalanche | 67c | 19,000$12,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,269.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kings | 32c | 16,739$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.5 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Avalanche | 68c | 14,605$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.26 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kings | 31c | 12,807$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.04 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 66c | 12,011$7,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.8 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Kings | 33c | 11,272$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.69 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Avalanche | 66c | 10,100$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Avalanche | 67c | 8,721$5,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.28 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 67c | 7,874$5,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.07 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kings | 31c | 7,040$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.38 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings | 33c | 7,000$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Avalanche | 67c | 7,000$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kings | 33c | 6,079$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.44 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Avalanche | 68c | 5,750$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.91 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Kings | 1c | 5,201$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Kings | 32c | 5,172$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.09 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Kings | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Avalanche | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Avalanche | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.97 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings | 33c | 4,545$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Kings | 32c | 4,529$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 31c | 4,058$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.09 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Kings | 33c | 3,929$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.76 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kings | 32c | 3,881$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.92 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Kings | 31c | 3,869$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.39 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Avalanche | 67c | 3,678$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.74 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 68c | 3,333$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.55 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings | 32c | 3,084$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.95 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Kings | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Avalanche | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Avalanche | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Avalanche | 67c | 2,673$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.42 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche | 66c | 2,550$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kings | 31c | 2,419$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 32c | 2,363$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.11 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kings | 32c | 2,219$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 32c | 2,165$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.7 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kings | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Avalanche | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Kings | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Avalanche | 69c | 2,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Kings | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 28c | 1,974$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.61 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Avalanche | 69c | 1,969$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.59 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 14c | 1,938$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.53 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings | 13c | 1,751$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.19 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Avalanche | 69c | 1,700$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche | 74c | 1,671$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.29 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Kings | 31c | 1,650$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.5 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Kings | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 26c | 1,467$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.76 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…a591backed Kings | 16c | 1,339$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Kings | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Avalanche | 77c | 1,165$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.1 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,147$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.05 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…e797backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,134$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Kings | 33c | 1,111$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.63 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,110$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.75 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 26c | 1,106$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.83 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Avalanche | 67c | 1,064$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.28 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 77c | 1,037$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.56 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 77c | 1,017$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.96 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Kings | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Kings | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Avalanche | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Kings | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Avalanche | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 33c | 999.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 25c | 819.62$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Avalanche | 68c | 807.61$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.37 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kings | 31c | 801$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.31 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Kings | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Kings | 20c | 793.45$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Avalanche | 67c | 760$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche | 66c | 700$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Kings | 14c | 700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Kings | 34c | 688.9$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.23 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Avalanche | 66c | 680$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Kings | 15c | 662.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 21c | 649.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.91 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Kings | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Avalanche | 67c | 624.93$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.23 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Kings | 34c | 617.65$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Kings | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Avalanche | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kings | 30c | 574.86$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.46 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Avalanche | 78c | 530.86$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Avalanche | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Avalanchethis page
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.