NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc18a020e4b9a0514a960ee63b990adb06aa2e9c98af549c4efe6fbde2feeae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 56c | 13,425$7,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,906.92 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 44c | 11,099$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883.37 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 2,860$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.96 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 45c | 2,515$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.91 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 1,531$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 1,237$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.28 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 936.56$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.09 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 596$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.24 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 534$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.94 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 511.86$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.77 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Under | 40c | 220$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 44c | 198$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 60c | 164$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 44c | 141$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 44c | 128$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 44c | 72.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 60c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 47c | 42.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 70c | 41.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Over | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Over | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Over | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…ff59backed Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 22.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5this page
- Kings vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.