NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca6fd7df573dc4b49e0b6ee77f9de5b724ea3ed0d153aac6fbeeccdfe80be0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 47c | 2,501$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.31 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 56c | 2,048$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.88 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.98 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 42c | 1,121$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Kings | 58c | 1,121$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 44c | 1,062$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.52 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…cf57backed Avalanche | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Kings | 53c | 425.53$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Kings | 56c | 354.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 44c | 346.29$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Avalanche | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 53c | 301.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.66 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Kings | 60c | 280.04$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.02 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Avalanche | 40c | 280.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 53c | 233$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Avalanche | 59c | 177.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Avalanche | 43c | 134.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Kings | 54c | 95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Kings | 56c | 93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Kings | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Avalanche | 47c | 70.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Avalanche | 47c | 54.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Kings | 56c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Kings | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Kings | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Avalanche | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Avalanche | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Avalanche | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Kings | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Avalanche | 45c | 31.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Avalanche | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Avalanche | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Avalanche | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Kings | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Avalanche | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Avalanche | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Avalanche | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Avalanche | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Kings | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Kings vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.