La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35b22fab9977553e5b2d46757bf19d58242fbc2e60dfccaaac9b1a062c8d2bc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 63c | 29,826$18,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,035.46 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 2,340$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.5 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 1,804$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.96 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 63c | 1,343$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.74 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 42c | 1,333$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 37c | 1,002$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.58 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 35c | 999.58$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 39c | 949.97$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.49 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 541.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed No | 66c | 514.16$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…73ebbacked Yes | 42c | 494.05$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 35c | 279.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 37c | 268.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 39c | 264.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 37c | 259.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 66c | 249.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 247.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 34c | 203.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No | 64c | 169.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 61c | 150.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 35c | 149.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 69c | 92.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 35c | 69.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 64c | 68.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 57.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…39c7backed Yes | 64c | 53.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 53c | 51.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed No | 65c | 49.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 71c | 45.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…71e3backed No | 65c | 44.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…1f6bbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 55c | 27.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 45c | 27.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 26.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 65c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will SD Huesca vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SD Huesca win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.