TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c8,939$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.827737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c7,903$5,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0172,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c7,687$5,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.7296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No73c7,627$5,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.272774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c7,263$5,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes25c7,223$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.1217543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c6,497$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.8348144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes26c6,000$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54514249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes25c2,652$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6694621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403727%10 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No74c1,603$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.886349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…9a45backed Yes2c1,200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes25c1,180$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2953622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c1,048$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No75c1,008$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2526162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee8…79dfbacked Yes25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes26c969$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.812452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No73c693.57$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6244753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes26c577$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.021729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d08…0e4fbacked Yes26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes16c525.32$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes25c500.05$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5813040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes25c500$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.389037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3f…a807backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick21cpaid+72.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes25c489.59$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.43647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes25c465.02$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5126046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes28c458.22$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1299054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002065%13 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No75c320.16$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.043141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes26c319.23$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42bf…30f7backed Yes28c311$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.711369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+44.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x00a7…eb44backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7212540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked Yes25c300$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No73c299.98$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9914155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes13c291.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.032360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+37%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes27c262.39$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8511146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes25c250.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No75c250$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes18c228.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407753.2%41 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes25c200.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.521445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Yes29c199.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576860.3%41 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508858%51 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No74c188.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4710451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes14c184.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d3d…7bfbbacked Yes29c178.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes26c156.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.137248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c153.29$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4543058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Yes28c139.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No73c134.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2415459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0a2…1096backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265632.1%18 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256035%21 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2615357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No73c96.58$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.594242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes26c95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.713840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Yes26c89.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked Yes12c89.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.595918.6%11 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…99debacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea1c…73e6backed Yes28c85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe665…eefabacked Yes26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x98e0…6695backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+69.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes24c71.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.236131.1%19 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9609…2236backed Yes26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes26c69.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812033.3%40 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4b…846cbacked No75c69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208754%47 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d62…5dc7backed No73c67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa1f…0ec8backed No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.48456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007a…c3abbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed No76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea5…cc71backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.