Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed89ed063248cd8224a69f4796ff848d7eb1abca10f71435bcb1592893a7055e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x377e…a010backed Yes | 47c | 14,618$6,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,770.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 46c | 11,996$5,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,477.86 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 54c | 9,999$5,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,366.13 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 55c | 8,523$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 53c | 6,894$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.98 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 55c | 4,194$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.93 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 3,843$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.38 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 4c | 3,634$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 46c | 2,326$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.03 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Yes | 46c | 2,210$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.77 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 4c | 2,087$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 46c | 1,777$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.62 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 75c | 1,711$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.16 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,226$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.09 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 1,147$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.39 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 1c | 1,047$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.76 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 55c | 963.21$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.77 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 960.31$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.46 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed No | 28c | 915.82$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 45c | 890.47$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.66 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 73c | 828.48$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 56c | 706.67$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 701.84$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.24 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 635$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.95 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 42c | 607.93$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.88 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 54c | 602.89$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.56 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 54c | 560$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 46c | 554.2$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.72 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 56c | 500$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 37c | 500$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 47c | 465.66$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 56c | 455$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.71 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 46cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 55c | 428.19$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 418.63$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.31 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…ea07backed No | 56c | 400.51$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8913…541cbacked No | 58c | 399.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 398$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed No | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…0e4fbacked No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 26c | 321.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 299$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 46c | 280.43$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 46c | 276.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.19 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…39bdbacked Yes | 46c | 273.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 44c | 267.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked No | 56c | 258.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 46c | 239.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 55c | 215.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 52c | 211.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 48c | 208.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Yes | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 23c | 201.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 46c | 200.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…a53ebacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…812ebacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 46c | 191.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 43c | 190.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 55c | 182.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 46c | 180.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked No | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Yes | 47c | 142.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…34a8backed Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 55c | 117.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…73bcbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 58c | 104.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 43c | 97.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked No | 58c | 96.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked No | 56c | 95.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 45c | 93.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…17dabacked Yes | 74c | 91.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Yes | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.