Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8edfef1daf7f4589f0f593581746cc753b433909a108c4e5806ed16f2707f2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $940,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,192,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $940,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 9c | 137,320$12,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,358.35 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 10c | 123,320$12,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,045.97 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 9c | 110,333$9,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,927.75 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 10c | 45,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.02 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 11c | 37,771$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140.21 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 10c | 26,599$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.82 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 9c | 23,578$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.34 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 10c | 22,850$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.69 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 14c | 19,170$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.45 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 10c | 16,806$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 15c | 13,287$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 16c | 8,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 9c | 5,940$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 11c | 5,322$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Yes | 80c | 4,822$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 14c | 4,053$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.73 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 10c | 3,191$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.13 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked No | 21c | 2,928$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 7c | 2,770$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.13 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 2c | 1,686$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 10c | 1,655$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 10c | 1,590$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.08 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed No | 14c | 1,497$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 80c | 1,308$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.59 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…16a4backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,012$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked No | 9c | 735.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 79c | 502.16$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…8000backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed Yes | 79c | 470.01$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…df16backed Yes | 78c | 377.16$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…c8d7backed No | 11c | 330$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…2f95backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…7b64backed Yes | 80c | 268.81$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked No | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Yes | 80c | 247.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 9c | 236.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 7c | 228.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…1a5ebacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 12c | 185.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 12c | 165.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…ac56backed Yes | 80c | 165$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Yes | 79c | 155$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 76c | 131$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 10c | 109.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 79c | 108.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e7…122bbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…c778backed Yes | 80c | 98.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…469cbacked No | 13c | 77.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 79c | 69.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 80c | 63.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…470dbacked Yes | 78c | 45.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…7253backed Yes | 79c | 44.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…9d52backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 50c | 36.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…0ad9backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…6b74backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ba…a5cfbacked Yes | 78c | 20.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c09…acafbacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…85a1backed Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2025-12-27?No won
- Will FC Porto vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.