TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7fb…85a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.87
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.69
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.56
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick74cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$18.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.