TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$353,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$432,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe74a…40eebacked No60c83,314$49,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,328.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes40c33,301$13,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,385.276048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No60c30,011$18,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,004.43441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes40c30,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c19,845$7,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,458.094,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c18,621$7,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,863.0230031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes40c16,232$6,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,492.7512451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No59c12,000$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,919.934537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.966132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes40c6,742$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.528754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes44c5,500$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.984540%18 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes24c5,453$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.372433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0508359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes44c3,800$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.929636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes30c3,510$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.6232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes40c3,463$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.8121444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes39c3,187$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed No59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2302740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.676563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No67c2,227$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.215763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes23c2,135$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.195318.9%10 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8205228.8%15 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes41c1,972$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes2c1,932$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6716833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No58c1,753$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.0634630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes41c1,628$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.555158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No61c1,458$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.4329343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes24c1,435$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.224831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No75c1,426$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.592236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c1,403$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.23,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes41c1,209$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes41c1,158$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.783956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes38c1,154$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.5314732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes41c1,098$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes39c1,036$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.19254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No59c987.43$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.8516647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes39c976.99$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.581833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No66c975.64$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.5219026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes42c952.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No67c935.27$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.621,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked Yes12c909.8$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.181315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes44c777$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.882030%6 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe716…3120backed Yes41c731.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No70c699.36$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3619224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No71c653.23$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.47258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Yes42c630.95$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654040%16 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes44c615.91$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes42c605.33$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab81…249abacked Yes41c592.46$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.911540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes23c564.37$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.567032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No61c524.6$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.62839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9e9…b8cfbacked Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013357.1%76 W · 57 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b49…69c1backed Yes41c468.9$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16bc…110bbacked Yes33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…87aabacked Yes31c430$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2d96backed No61c419.48$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No71c413.62$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.489845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes33c410$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes29c339.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009334.4%32 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked No61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3b9…27d0backed No80c325$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca76…bb69backed Yes41c323.51$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes31c318.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Yes32c317.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes39c308.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.474353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12617727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No60c279$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.62352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes11c278.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…0ebabacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…83b1backed Yes42c270.54$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes45c266.67$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1195650%28 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No74c254.45$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2916841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…3edebacked No75c253.33$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…b019backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Yes36c246.34$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick20cpaid+62.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007934.2%27 W · 52 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008838.6%34 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa574…9075backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No66c232.5$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.54057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a7…07adbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Yes19c222$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.182653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes47c214.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x120e…93f0backed Yes47c214.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes47c212.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010954.1%59 W · 50 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes39c212.62$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.921428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed No60c208.12$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.251060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011458.8%67 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8217851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.