College Football · resolved market
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 49.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2bff13dc29dc6b043f1288e4ddbc47802846cdd90d462f1678919cb96a79b01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 7,800$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 6,889$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.92 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 47c | 5,142$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.39 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Over | 53c | 2,716$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.06 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 54c | 2,420$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.97 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 1,782$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.03 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.35 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Over | 55c | 1,383$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 805.88$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Over | 52c | 417.12$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 220.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07f8backed Over | 54c | 218.19$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Over | 52c | 120.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Under | 17c | 103$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 11cpaid | +300%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Over | 53c | 85.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 47c | 72.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 63.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 49c | 56.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Over | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e9f2backed Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Under | 51c | 37.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 49.5this page
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech won
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 50.5Under won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-10.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-8.5)Louisiana Tech won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-9.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.