College Football · resolved market
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 50.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa041c3409cf9bcad33cf5b3e903c37a18ff5e5a08fc74566133a45fc08edb41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 48c | 31,028$15,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,992.8 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 13,917$7,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,025.37 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 52c | 8,965$4,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.87 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 51c | 7,029$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.55 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 48c | 3,140$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.27 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Over | 51c | 2,303$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 2,165$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.15 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 1,900$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.5 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 49c | 1,497$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.42 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 1,483$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.14 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 50c | 1,233$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.42 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 974$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.74 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Over | 52c | 961.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 813$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.24 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 476$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.76 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 49c | 231.4$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 52c | 115.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Over | 48c | 70.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Over | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 41.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…f574backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 39.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 50.5this page
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech won
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 49.5Under won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-10.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-8.5)Louisiana Tech won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-9.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.