College Football · resolved market
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x122bff2425940c5f306ca1ea7e55df1b6cb015057c0760c892a003950a260775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana Techof Louisiana Tech, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 45c | 1,069$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.76 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Louisiana Tech | 55c | 985.27$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 46c | 255.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Louisiana Tech | 54c | 245.54$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 161$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a9…c189backed Louisiana Tech | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Louisiana Tech | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Louisiana Tech | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 45c | 43.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Louisiana Tech | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Louisiana Tech | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Louisiana Tech | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-8.5)this page
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech won
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 49.5Under won
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 50.5Under won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-10.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-9.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.