College Football · resolved market
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa58ea496379df97f540f75e0a9f3e96b2a89ad69ab68ec91063d5253c8308233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleersof Louisiana Tech, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 71,442$37,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,868.3 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 47c | 67,709$31,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,874.62 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 47c | 21,809$10,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,565.59 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 10,050$5,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,325.96 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 5,387$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…03edbacked Louisiana Tech | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Louisiana Tech | 16c | 959.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana Tech | 55c | 952.24$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.38 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 45c | 905$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 630$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.9 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Louisiana Tech | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Louisiana Tech | 37c | 337.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 63c | 229.37$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Louisiana Tech | 12c | 199.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07f8backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…b7b1backed Louisiana Tech | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 47c | 160.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Louisiana Tech | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Louisiana Tech | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 107$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Louisiana Tech | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…6b37backed Louisiana Tech | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 65.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 75c | 60.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Louisiana Tech | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Louisiana Tech | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 40.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…72fbbacked Louisiana Tech | 53c | 22.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Louisiana Tech | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-9.5)this page
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech won
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 49.5Under won
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 50.5Under won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-10.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech (-8.5)Louisiana Tech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.