TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Alexander Blockx vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blockxof Blockx, Kjaer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,627 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Kjaer26c13,658$3,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,611.6680938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Kjaer5c13,440$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.191,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Blockx74c12,146$9,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.2611343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Blockx73c10,030$7,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.7276546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kjaer26c7,664$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.277,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kjaer16c7,285$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.372,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kjaer14c7,200$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.78,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c6…6382backed Kjaer27c6,264$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Kjaer27c5,601$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.248936%32 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed72…b8b0backed Kjaer25c4,652$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.097332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Blockx75c4,652$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.0910541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Kjaer26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033137.2%123 W · 208 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Blockx76c3,169$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.129264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Kjaer21c2,516$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.8958639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kjaer25c2,187$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.7587251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Kjaer17c1,747$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.996747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kjaer31c1,544$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.955143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Kjaer24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3607226.4%19 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Kjaer24c1,448$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.419746.4%45 W · 52 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6662…3e03backed Kjaer29c1,328$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Kjaer28c1,300$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.9444125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Blockx79c1,297$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.5813852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kjaer26c1,193$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.183644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc081…928cbacked Blockx71c1,168$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Kjaer26c1,137$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4212631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Kjaer18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x615c…e9c3backed Blockx71c1,065$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Kjaer8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021655.6%120 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kjaer26c974$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9625428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f61…9131backed Kjaer22c931.8$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-75.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0661…d210backed Kjaer29c825$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Blockx72c777.5$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5918241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kjaer29c769.58$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0473048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Blockx70c748.24$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.41,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kjaer13c682.61$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.662,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Kjaer25c674.24$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5663247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa9…cf22backed Kjaer29c662$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Blockx74c655$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5514744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef7…9da3backed Kjaer29c652$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1225…33bfbacked Blockx80c650.6$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.123053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x316a…0614backed Blockx71c640$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcf…3123backed Kjaer29c515$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Kjaer9c508.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.258313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Kjaer24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Kjaer24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Kjaer9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451368.1%11 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Kjaer20c499.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…60cdbacked Kjaer28c455$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x586c…7667backed Kjaer29c403$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Blockx79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8418250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2da…553dbacked Kjaer28c392$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Kjaer26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbf…4eb8backed Blockx71c364$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Kjaer22c363.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1288446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Blockx75c327.58$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1230741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…3edcbacked Kjaer35c302.11$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Kjaer24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Kjaer9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271085.6%6 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x148a…d483backed Kjaer28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Kjaer9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Kjaer7c299.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2159721.8%130 W · 467 L+2.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf591…c231backed Blockx72c291$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad01…5d1fbacked Blockx71c289$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…5290backed Blockx71c288$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c79…8b69backed Blockx72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.786150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kjaer15c273.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.926,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Kjaer27c268.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.51,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Blockx76c261.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.695865.5%38 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Kjaer8c250.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kjaer26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf26…3edebacked Blockx76c248.68$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.682050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x647e…92f5backed Blockx71c226$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46c…4468backed Blockx72c219$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca94…f7c5backed Blockx72c208$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Blockx75c201.43$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4315363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Kjaer11c201$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2336040%144 W · 216 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Blockx80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.270465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Kjaer7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Kjaer9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Blockx73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Kjaer34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689833.7%33 W · 65 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kjaer23c199.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.516,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blockx75c192$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Kjaer13c190.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8528139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x120a…1e2ebacked Blockx71c185$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9d…ed50backed Blockx72c173$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9d…cdffbacked Blockx72c164$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…4e81backed Blockx71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Kjaer26c157.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2932548%156 W · 169 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Kjaer26c153.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-59.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Kjaer29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1342…5e18backed Blockx74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kjaer28c134.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.742,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Blockx76c123.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.769966.7%66 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Kjaer25c119.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010532.4%34 W · 71 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Kjaer25c119.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.559348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Kjaer26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Blockx71c108.45$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4565949.3%325 W · 334 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Kjaer13c105$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6511943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Kjaer13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.