Tennis · resolved market
Blockx vs. Kjaer: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57373c8f6f2710116332654db635e301a7523db36eb7ef3c652af1020266c65d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Over 3.5 | 3c | 3,361$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 3,235$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Over 3.5 | 3c | 2,200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 3.5 | 31c | 1,594$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.33 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under 3.5 | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under 3.5 | 73c | 1,229$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Over 3.5 | 8c | 700$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Over 3.5 | 61c | 377$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over 3.5 | 31c | 324.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over 3.5 | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under 3.5 | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under 3.5 | 32c | 156$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d35…8518backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 15.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blockx vs. Kjaer: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Blockx vs. Kjaer: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Blockx vs. Kjaer: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Blockx vs. Kjaer: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Blockx vs. Kjaer: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Blockx vs. Kjaer: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Blockx vs. Kjaer: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Blockx vs. Kjaer: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Alexander Blockx vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerBlockx won
- Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs KjaerBlockx won
- Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Kjaer (+1.5)Blockx won
- Set Handicap: Blockx (-2.5) vs Kjaer (+2.5)Blockx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.