TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1342…5e18

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+48.1%+$44.71
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32.58
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.22
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,648Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.4%+$583.72
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.74
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$17.56
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$137.14
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+143.9%+$23.02
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$260.38
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.09
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$61.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+35.1%+$40.41
LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$88.47
LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+32.7%+$31.43
LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+37%+$24.89
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$16.1
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$74.87
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,318Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+38.4%+$506.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Voca vs SkinRave (BO3)backed SkinRave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$29.11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+37%+$11.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$15.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.