Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42ada3f66991229946d2888434b596f77f718c54af30dcf5881f754cdac6450f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85df…9124backed Over | 3c | 3,092$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Over | 3c | 2,200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…b616backed Over | 52c | 740.3$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…0613backed Under | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Over | 6c | 385.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Under | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…0723backed Over | 26c | 210$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 141.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 53c | 103.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 262 | 34.4%90 W · 172 L | -21.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…5e18backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0e…12ffbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3)Oh My God won
- LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerOh My God won
- LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerOh My God won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.