CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Voca vs SkinRave (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7774195b16d99626db82f9e14518c8aea8f20daa53006dc46733a0fd218e2829
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vocaof Voca, SkinRave
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc372…dda1backed SkinRave | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed SkinRave | 48c | 646.57$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.41 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…c66cbacked Voca | 53c | 576.02$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.02 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked SkinRave | 46c | 298.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Voca | 52c | 255$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked SkinRave | 34c | 211.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked SkinRave | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed SkinRave | 48c | 199.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc8…e66cbacked SkinRave | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Voca | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked Voca | 53c | 123.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked SkinRave | 20c | 102.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Voca | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…5e18backed SkinRave | 32c | 92.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed SkinRave | 43c | 90.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Voca | 57c | 87.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…6c18backed SkinRave | 49c | 81.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked SkinRave | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Voca | 57c | 72.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed SkinRave | 46c | 69.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Voca | 49c | 63.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…1b0ebacked Voca | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…b6aabacked SkinRave | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Voca | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Voca | 49c | 29.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6489…71ebbacked SkinRave | 51c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Voca | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a5…64fabacked Voca | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked SkinRave | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…826abacked Voca | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs SkinRave (BO3)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.