TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55e3…1b0e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$59.67
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Flyers vs. Flamesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+103.5%+$87.97
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Sabres vs. Bluesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$66.51
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$72.06
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$88
SHL: Brynaes vs. Oerebro HKbacked Brynaes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$85.71
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$114.99
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+274.8%+$164.89
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+64.6%+$65.23
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27.32
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$122.73
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$35.94
Rangers vs. Bluesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+85.1%+$25.53
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2250%11 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$224
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+117.4%+$176.09
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+108.3%+$119.6
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+67.1%+$125.56
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+61.2%+$237.69
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+284.6%+$71.15
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+192.3%+$96.14
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+57.5%+$69.6
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs FriendlyCampers (BO3)backed FriendlyCampers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs BESTIA (BO3)backed BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$85.08
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 9INE (BO3)backed BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$156.81
Counter-Strike: Voca vs SkinRave (BO3)backed Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$25.72
Counter-Strike: Players vs RED Canids Academy (BO3)backed RED Canids Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+59.6%+$24.44
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+185.7%+$111.43
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$104.34
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+525%+$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+491.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+491.7%+$103.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$197
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.