TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Team Nemesis (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Nemesisof FORZE Reload, Team Nemesis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked FORZE Reload29c4,033$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.023,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb7…e8e5backed FORZE Reload9c2,093$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.28633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked FORZE Reload55c1,996$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10027452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked FORZE Reload39c1,753$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.329235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FORZE Reload16c1,610$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.82,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed FORZE Reload54c1,483$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.0557647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b37…fcd6backed FORZE Reload2c1,327$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.63714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick5cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77e1…5924backed FORZE Reload2c1,200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2825%2 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+163.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked FORZE Reload6c1,200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6310111.9%12 W · 89 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1142…a68abacked FORZE Reload3c1,131$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Team Nemesis46c1,095$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.1492152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Nemesis61c1,000$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38558961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Nemesis44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56050833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Team Nemesis65c945$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.358267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked FORZE Reload54c760.37$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.384434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked FORZE Reload50c520.47$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.241450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+76.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Team Nemesis63c507.79$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7911746.2%54 W · 63 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed FORZE Reload41c481.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7722942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Team Nemesis65c479.58$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.645455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33cf…d71bbacked FORZE Reload43c469.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Team Nemesis66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.55580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+51.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d14…261dbacked FORZE Reload37c435.74$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis46c383$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.825,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked FORZE Reload19c373.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.175973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed FORZE Reload54c361.74$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.813461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Team Nemesis45c334.82$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.157343.8%32 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f8…a50bbacked Team Nemesis66c303.93$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+126.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Nemesis47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15998052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x791b…029ebacked Team Nemesis51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.121457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Team Nemesis72c292.01$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8410748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Team Nemesis66c290.26$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.261844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Team Nemesis70c276.66$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8345848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Team Nemesis72c275.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.871361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x024f…e58fbacked FORZE Reload41c270$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed FORZE Reload37c269.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.622948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Team Nemesis46c265.22$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.221957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+60.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Team Nemesis46c263.04$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.046861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed FORZE Reload19c259.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2121139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3753…8a21backed Team Nemesis60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FORZE Reload42c232.55$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.827,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0729…4e62backed FORZE Reload29c217.86$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.721136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Team Nemesis46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3924038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e3…1b0ebacked Team Nemesis46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392250%11 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Team Nemesis65c211.59$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.593342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9816…cc22backed FORZE Reload35c209.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.221910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-79.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Team Nemesis50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed FORZE Reload51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3bd8…e1fbbacked FORZE Reload20c199.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2eb…e530backed Team Nemesis50c191.07$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.81540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe38…f858backed Team Nemesis60c186.85$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b5…6bbabacked FORZE Reload32c183.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed FORZE Reload43c168$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2433237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked FORZE Reload31c164.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.812326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Team Nemesis55c163.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked FORZE Reload44c154.27$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.491233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked FORZE Reload10c149.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.281,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…19bebacked Team Nemesis70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed FORZE Reload25c139$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked FORZE Reload29c137.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.161942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Nemesis46c136.67$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2397040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Team Nemesis73c136.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1913363.9%85 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a3…0918backed FORZE Reload44c134.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee47…1c4cbacked Team Nemesis65c133.88$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.491323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-63.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed FORZE Reload42c121.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5118543.2%80 W · 105 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed FORZE Reload33c112.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.273855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed FORZE Reload44c110$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.46532.3%21 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82a7…9ea8backed FORZE Reload46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Team Nemesis46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+68%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Team Nemesis67c96.4$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.814535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Team Nemesis61c95.03$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.037553.3%40 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed FORZE Reload23c85.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.641717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked FORZE Reload40c74.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.672458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FORZE Reload34c74.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3444957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked FORZE Reload42c72.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018040.6%73 W · 107 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked FORZE Reload47c70.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9814233.8%48 W · 94 L-18.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0a2f…420ebacked FORZE Reload29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Team Nemesis60c66.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.661752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed Team Nemesis63c65.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248326.5%22 W · 61 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Team Nemesis62c63.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x868a…8e5bbacked Team Nemesis58c62.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…56b6backed FORZE Reload19c60.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed Team Nemesis67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2043442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked FORZE Reload50c55.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7817246.5%80 W · 92 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed FORZE Reload29c55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e8d…6d9cbacked Team Nemesis70c55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…7074backed Team Nemesis67c52.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd4b…c2bcbacked FORZE Reload46c51.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Team Nemesis64c50.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.166657.6%38 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed FORZE Reload29c44.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf352…fd14backed Team Nemesis53c41.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4baa…5e1abacked Team Nemesis70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked FORZE Reload47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.834147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1a…a659backed Team Nemesis63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6812162.8%76 W · 45 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed FORZE Reload37c38.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.119151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked FORZE Reload53c37.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Team Nemesis58c36.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3163541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c6…5210backed Team Nemesis56c35.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.913438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Nemesis57c35.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2269863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed FORZE Reload45c34.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.651,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7378…2abfbacked FORZE Reload55c34.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.