CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd42e9fe9af3751b468aebb50e25b967cd4c7cca7c5e613fecb67d9d1c9ce8887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof FORZE Reload, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x024f…e58fbacked FORZE Reload | 38c | 213.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed FORZE Reload | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 199.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…1c4cbacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 198.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 170.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FORZE Reload | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb1…38adbacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +348%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed FORZE Reload | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 106.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FORZE Reload | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…e8e5backed FORZE Reload | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…0918backed FORZE Reload | 55c | 82.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…cc22backed FORZE Reload | 60c | 38.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 32.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 31.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…501cbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Team Nemesis (BO3)Team Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.