CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs fnatic (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcab786ba5ecd43c02eeb92039a3f25283b9ff9549fdc87281b0f7f87e305971e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 22,207$15,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,946.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked fnatic | 32c | 15,750$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.32 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked fnatic | 31c | 4,480$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed fnatic | 64c | 3,108$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.83 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 2,400$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked fnatic | 25c | 1,997$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.47 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…2905backed fnatic | 63c | 1,916$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…d685backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 37c | 1,916$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed fnatic | 63c | 1,800$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.99 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 1,631$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.57 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 1,327$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.01 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked fnatic | 36c | 1,005$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked fnatic | 60c | 676$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.26 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 35c | 600.04$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.79 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked fnatic | 42c | 491.39$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked fnatic | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed fnatic | 64c | 390$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed fnatic | 36c | 387.78$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed fnatic | 64c | 356.25$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked fnatic | 64c | 305$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 288.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.54 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…1b0ebacked fnatic | 57c | 272.91$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed fnatic | 39c | 236.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked fnatic | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +95%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed fnatic | 8c | 197.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 37c | 194.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 37c | 155.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked fnatic | 50c | 142.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked fnatic | 51c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked fnatic | 26c | 100.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked fnatic | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed fnatic | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed fnatic | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc088…0809backed fnatic | 38c | 90.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked fnatic | 19c | 84.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c22…12c4backed fnatic | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…cc16backed fnatic | 55c | 50.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked fnatic | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked fnatic | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed fnatic | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 37c | 27.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…e556backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…bbb2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs fnatic (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs fnatic - Map 2 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.