TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Oilers, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$687,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$772,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $687,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1ff…e56abacked Wild55c178,016$97,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,750.575749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Oilers46c75,697$34,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,820.5311955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oilers45c26,442$11,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,898.742,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Oilers46c22,476$10,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,338.871,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers29c21,821$6,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,320.61,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Wild55c20,000$10,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,026.8242552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Oilers45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.9525449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oilers45c19,508$8,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,840.31,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Oilers45c18,678$8,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,405.2221850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Oilers22c15,909$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.946254.8%34 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Wild78c14,010$10,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Wild73c12,945$9,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,457.1926344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Oilers45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Wild54c9,560$5,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,397.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers45c9,511$4,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,279.7547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Wild54c8,333$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,833.1833243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Wild54c7,900$4,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,63433652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Wild75c7,163$5,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.8685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers45c6,845$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.671,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Oilers45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7005448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Wild68c5,910$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.866958%40 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Oilers45c5,898$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.0610451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Wild72c5,555$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.486833.8%23 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Oilers0c5,243$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.517450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wild55c4,977$2,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.561,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Wild55c4,736$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.3650049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wild54c4,444$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.2475251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Oilers46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad0…12e9backed Oilers26c4,256$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Wild54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84022546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Oilers45c3,555$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.7552050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Wild68c3,291$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.1810650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wild69c2,558$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.971,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Oilers45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Oilers30c2,312$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.281,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Oilers46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Oilers46c2,057$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.2216346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Oilers46c2,031$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.1469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Oilers45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Oilers46c1,886$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.562850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Oilers7c1,675$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.56527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Oilers19c1,605$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4729926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wild55c1,600$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f37…6c72backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d6…9487backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb54d…499fbacked Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf143…527dbacked Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d9…cb8bbacked Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-41.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc82…2a56backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f3…36b0backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c6b…1318backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c9a…498bbacked Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e38…00e7backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+54.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba42…b46bbacked Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+46.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedfe…9710backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5fb…20f0backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9c…a37abacked Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc8…29d9backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x082b…8eeabacked Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+45.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2114…8808backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbd…245cbacked Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2e…5158backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3484…c330backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b6…7f0fbacked Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…f7ebbacked Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf9…6be4backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba2…8e3ebacked Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9c…101bbacked Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bc…a513backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2493…b565backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x515d…dd79backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b4…6db5backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce69…16c2backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d88…3221backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c9…14efbacked Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ffa…4d9abacked Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfffc…252fbacked Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+61%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9916…4aa8backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+59.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x61fa…3fd0backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ab…f1bdbacked Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7540…85fbbacked Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x971b…930bbacked Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-60.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93e7…6799backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa3…b14bbacked Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe479…c3efbacked Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa156…7551backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b7…d03dbacked Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe9…6291backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a83…fe75backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f90…80c7backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c9…a910backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2549…0d19backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd29…abbcbacked Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+42.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13d9…359bbacked Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1ae…a521backed Wild52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94ca…4fd9backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28cd…27a0backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d3b…639bbacked Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9502…b432backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7202055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabeb…2b01backed Oilers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7202152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.