CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs BESTIA (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda24e6bd7d0ae9b7ab05829a23cc483b0e164e8aefa69b2f569978da0b608929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61b…3984backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 4,900$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BESTIA | 47c | 2,223$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.33 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 2,054$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.71 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BESTIA | 35c | 1,532$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.06 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 1,456$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.65 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BESTIA | 25c | 1,409$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.64 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed BESTIA | 35c | 1,150$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed BESTIA | 38c | 1,083$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.63 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed BESTIA | 57c | 938.95$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.51 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BESTIA | 35c | 714.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 648.81$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.9 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked BESTIA | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked BESTIA | 37c | 534.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed BESTIA | 29c | 505.91$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked BESTIA | 50c | 500$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed BESTIA | 39c | 361.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…2ff0backed BESTIA | 28c | 360.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed BESTIA | 36c | 338.09$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 313.46$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked BESTIA | 31c | 309.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d05…a9cabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…1b0ebacked BESTIA | 32c | 267.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed BESTIA | 36c | 265$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed BESTIA | 42c | 238.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed BESTIA | 39c | 233.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 54c | 185.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 171.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked BESTIA | 37c | 160.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 158.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 145.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked BESTIA | 14c | 143.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 133.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked BESTIA | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed BESTIA | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked BESTIA | 58c | 95.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 65.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 58c | 54.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 50.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed BESTIA | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6644…e9fabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 38.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…b521backed BESTIA | 47c | 35.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 76c | 31.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 28.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs BESTIA (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.