CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs FriendlyCampers (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66eb0120861607c96e76c429dbf52e3d77586252dfb6014f6d12338e6ba5180f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, FriendlyCampers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed BESTIA | 74c | 11,110$8,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.92 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed FriendlyCampers | 24c | 4,000$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.77 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FriendlyCampers | 28c | 3,746$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.21 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed FriendlyCampers | 25c | 1,677$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.31 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…1681backed FriendlyCampers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed FriendlyCampers | 30c | 649.32$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…9fd2backed FriendlyCampers | 27c | 354.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…9200backed BESTIA | 76c | 324$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed FriendlyCampers | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…1b0ebacked FriendlyCampers | 29c | 213.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed FriendlyCampers | 60c | 202$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked BESTIA | 46c | 143.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed FriendlyCampers | 26c | 142.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed BESTIA | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…fd12backed BESTIA | 76c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs FriendlyCampers (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs FriendlyCampers - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.