NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7b1acbfa7da46e1ce4a40927a958e83e3755e40ad377f9c0984630fbf38f11a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Hurricanes, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $563,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 55c | 175,471$96,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,690.02 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Lightning | 53c | 155,744$82,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,573.65 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hurricanes | 52c | 57,431$29,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,774.08 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hurricanes | 45c | 54,978$24,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,480.54 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Lightning | 43c | 28,515$12,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,385.27 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hurricanes | 45c | 22,500$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,120 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Hurricanes | 45c | 21,876$9,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,843.54 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hurricanes | 46c | 21,700$9,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,982 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Hurricanes | 45c | 21,155$9,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,519.75 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hurricanes | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Lightning | 51c | 15,470$7,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,580.3 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hurricanes | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurricanes | 46c | 13,717$6,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,266.59 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hurricanes | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hurricanes | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hurricanes | 45c | 9,444$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Hurricanes | 45c | 9,034$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.16 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Hurricanes | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes | 48c | 8,249$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.8 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lightning | 53c | 6,555$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.22 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Hurricanes | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hurricanes | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Hurricanes | 48c | 5,519$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.87 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Hurricanes | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Hurricanes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Hurricanes | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hurricanes | 45c | 4,896$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.16 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hurricanes | 47c | 4,760$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.36 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Lightning | 53c | 4,671$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.43 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes | 64c | 4,307$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.73 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lightning | 52c | 4,288$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.44 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hurricanes | 57c | 4,226$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.52 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lightning | 10c | 4,094$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,673.81 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Lightning | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hurricanes | 45c | 3,543$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.9 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 3,048$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.59 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 58c | 2,744$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.72 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hurricanes | 71c | 2,508$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.58 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hurricanes | 47c | 2,500$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.62 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hurricanes | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Hurricanes | 37c | 2,103$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.23 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Hurricanes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Hurricanes | 45c | 1,896$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.77 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Lightning | 50c | 1,710$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.23 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hurricanes | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Lightning | 52c | 1,474$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.3 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hurricanes | 37c | 1,406$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.13 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Hurricanes | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 52c | 1,391$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.45 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Hurricanes | 38c | 1,325$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Hurricanes | 48c | 1,204$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.68 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Hurricanes | 44c | 1,123$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.67 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Hurricanes | 46c | 1,075$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hurricanes | 46c | 1,025$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.55 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hurricanes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Lightning | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Hurricanes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Hurricanes | 48c | 998.63$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.35 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lightning | 54c | 962.49$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.84 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Lightning | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Hurricanes | 45c | 867.73$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.48 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…952ebacked Hurricanes | 80c | 857$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lightning | 50c | 790$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.23 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…8438backed Hurricanes | 13c | 786.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Hurricanes | 71c | 786$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.28 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Lightning | 33c | 759.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.11 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Lightning | 53c | 755$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.85 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Hurricanes | 48c | 699.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lightning | 52c | 697$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.07 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Lightning | 45c | 669.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Hurricanes | 10c | 645$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Hurricanes | 47c | 639$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…b832backed Hurricanes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hurricanes | 45c | 636$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.06 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Lightning | 52c | 600.96$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.46 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 40c | 600$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.25 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Hurricanes | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Lightning | 35c | 562.58$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.28 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hurricanes | 73c | 530$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.9 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Lightning | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Hurricanes | 45c | 491.11$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Hurricanes | 74c | 485.64$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.18 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Hurricanes | 47c | 443.57$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.04 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Lightning | 57c | 440.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Hurricanes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Lightning | 42c | 415.14$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.26 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Hurricanes | 45c | 407$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Lightning | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Hurricanes | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Hurricanes | 67c | 393.9$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Lightning | 55c | 370.33$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.76 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Hurricanes | 48c | 358.74$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.76 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lightning | 11c | 350$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Lightning | 34c | 346$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.36 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…51adbacked Hurricanes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hurricanes | 47c | 310.35$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Lightningthis page
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.