Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b6438ddf13198b1a30ca97133b1a4ed716a1b1c6f4bf700bb4a391940654598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 51c | 31,729$16,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,583.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 18,258$8,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,946.63 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 9,052$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,467.88 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 50c | 1,416$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.16 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed No | 52c | 630.02$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 50c | 526$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 50c | 521$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.5 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 238.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 52c | 233.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed No | 53c | 200.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…2788backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 50c | 183.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed No | 14c | 161.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 47c | 138.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed No | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes | 49c | 87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 51c | 62.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…c6dabacked No | 51c | 55.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed No | 51c | 53.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 48c | 51.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked No | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60aa…0df0backed No | 50c | 47.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed No | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed No | 53c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked No | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed No | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 50c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed No | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ee…b8dabacked No | 50c | 26.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked No | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 63c | 18.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.