TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,956 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Under59c73,409$43,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,283.591369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c28,349$11,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,725.8493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over42c19,426$8,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,266.8611848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c17,228$7,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,014.232,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under58c15,776$9,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,150.194351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under57c11,530$6,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,611.6938744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under57c7,600$4,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,33220544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c6,411$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.271,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over40c6,075$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,628.7596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9505369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over43c4,900$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.1945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over31c3,079$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.691764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1808251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over43c1,568$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8945658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.481154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over42c819$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.0237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47210152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Under57c794.49$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.863366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Under7c549.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.441816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under45c444.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23628556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2283262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2322…82c0backed Under76c394.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over42c389.16$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.327544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17725556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17713152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17718459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1746949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over41c240$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.612048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over41c240$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.616851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.567538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over39c202.53$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.215847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.213648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.228458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.511550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under56c135.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5320841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.811154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.88148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.812453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.811454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.88948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.810952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.87746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.810252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.814155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.811953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.89447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.812253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.811448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.642171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over73c93.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1517958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over41c90$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.17353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under38c86.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4736852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Under61c85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.85922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-60.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under56c83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6428445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over35c78.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.343135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Over44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over41c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.312454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Under58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under68c68.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under57c62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.341957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.49445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.411551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.48852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.48552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.48456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.46443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.411354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.47653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.48151.9%42 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.411652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.47255.6%40 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.412754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.411655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.415459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.48550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.413650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.411153.2%59 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.411060%66 W · 44 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.412350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Under69c56.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.871353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over44c49.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.683259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under51c47.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2221748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5112946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Over41c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.377852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Over41c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.377953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.48651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.382347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over41c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8828931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Over41c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.117652.6%40 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Over41c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.117451.4%38 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Over43c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca4…923dbacked Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over43c26.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.35844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.