Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f61f6b6e98eda382c7ce86878cfbba8d166ddec18ee12b69e4bfbfc2168f881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 3,007$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.56 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Over | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 6c | 314.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 30c | 228$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 29c | 180.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 43c | 110.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 69c | 97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 93.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 30c | 83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under | 43c | 76.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 57c | 76.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 30c | 73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 79c | 64.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 30c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 70c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 70c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Over | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 32.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 78c | 22.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Over | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Over | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Over | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.