Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe14142b087ab0144e22340b79586f51ad86d90de8f48d2cd429a897679e58bf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 29c | 50,010$14,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,627.95 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 68c | 36,379$24,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,803.04 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…d2aabacked Yes | 5c | 9,510$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 4,305$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.91 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 47c | 2,146$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Yes | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked No | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 1,301$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.55 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 54c | 1,300$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 47c | 1,004$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 662.18$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 606.82$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.21 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 13c | 594.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 54c | 560$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 74c | 498.75$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 48c | 412.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 217.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 76c | 215.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 47c | 212.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 177$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 55c | 154.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 48c | 104.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed No | 55c | 100.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 22c | 99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0f…921cbacked Yes | 48c | 84.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 28c | 68.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 54c | 57.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe42…87eebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 74c | 41.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 37.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed No | 67c | 31.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 56c | 30.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 54c | 23.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…3d14backed Yes | 45c | 22.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.