Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6db828b693628dd16a1e7629afbf8278830df8d8411b593e0d1ef3addd1082d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Yes | 67c | 4,957$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.82 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 4,022$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 71c | 1,916$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.34 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.33 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 1,229$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.13 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 931.81$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.37 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 70c | 725.36$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.75 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 21c | 263.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 80c | 136.48$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…01b0backed No | 72c | 123$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 111.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f01…8bd0backed Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +116%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 70c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.0wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 38.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…95ccbacked Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 78c | 27.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.