College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fe22ce20a596364eb1eee16335d36eded8599ea8b79c06578ea538aa00eae27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Southernof Georgia Southern, Appalachian State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $597,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Georgia Southern | 58c | 193,316$111,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,340.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Appalachian State | 42c | 81,983$34,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,432.71 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Appalachian State | 42c | 47,414$19,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,913.86 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Appalachian State | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Appalachian State | 42c | 10,300$4,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,327.5 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Appalachian State | 43c | 9,002$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.35 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Appalachian State | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.99 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Appalachian State | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Georgia Southern | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia Southern | 56c | 2,779$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.62 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Appalachian State | 42c | 2,607$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.46 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Appalachian State | 43c | 2,356$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.08 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Appalachian State | 49c | 2,122$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.87 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Georgia Southern | 53c | 1,295$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.43 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Georgia Southern | 54c | 1,202$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.16 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Appalachian State | 50c | 998.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Georgia Southern | 58c | 776.88$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.64 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +600.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…230ebacked Appalachian State | 45c | 716.78$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Appalachian State | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Appalachian State | 45c | 340.51$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Appalachian State | 46c | 325.22$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Appalachian State | 43c | 263$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Georgia Southern | 52c | 200.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Appalachian State | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Georgia Southern | 69c | 176.96$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8160…c908backed Georgia Southern | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Appalachian State | 39c | 163.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Georgia Southern | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Appalachian State | 47c | 159.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Appalachian State | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Appalachian State | 45c | 133$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Appalachian State | 45c | 114.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Appalachian State | 49c | 110.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Georgia Southern | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Appalachian State | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Appalachian State | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Appalachian State | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Appalachian State | 45c | 88.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Appalachian State | 47c | 87.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Appalachian State | 44c | 79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Georgia Southern | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Georgia Southern | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…1052backed Appalachian State | 50c | 50.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Georgia Southern | 57c | 49.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Georgia Southern | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Appalachian State | 50c | 40.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Appalachian State | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Appalachian State | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Appalachian State | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Georgia Southern | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Georgia Southern | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Georgia Southern | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Georgia Southern | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Appalachian State | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia Southern | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…18cabacked Appalachian State | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Appalachian State | 44c | 28.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Appalachian State | 44c | 28.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Georgia Southern | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Georgia Southern | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Georgia Southern | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Georgia Southern | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Georgia Southern | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Georgia Southern | 55c | 21.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)this page
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian StateGeorgia Southern won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: 1H MoneylineGeorgia Southern won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 57.5Under won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 58.5Under won
- O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-10.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-8.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-9.5)Georgia Southern won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.