College Football · resolved market
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf35ed9d7fdfefdba7534d0d109bcb43ad091b76cd3a7813a861b8664c5ab233c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Southernof Georgia Southern, Appalachian State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Appalachian State | 0c | 70,581$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Georgia Southern | 71c | 346.03$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Appalachian State | 29c | 346.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Appalachian State | 29c | 223$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Appalachian State | 30c | 191.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Appalachian State | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Appalachian State | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Appalachian State | 29c | 138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Appalachian State | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Appalachian State | 29c | 99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Appalachian State | 29c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Appalachian State | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Appalachian State | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Georgia Southern | 70c | 53.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Georgia Southern | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Georgia Southern | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Georgia Southern | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Georgia Southern | 71c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Georgia Southern | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Georgia Southern | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Georgia Southern | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Georgia Southern | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Georgia Southern | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Georgia Southern | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Georgia Southern | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Georgia Southern | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Georgia Southern | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Georgia Southern | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Georgia Southern | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…00f8backed Georgia Southern | 77c | 20.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian StateGeorgia Southern won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 57.5Under won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 58.5Under won
- O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-10.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-8.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-9.5)Georgia Southern won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.