College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia Southern (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1644903e88845eeee784d9b7575260e4bd01a5ee7d39c1b423bd3844dcca39f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Southernof Georgia Southern, Appalachian State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Appalachian State | 48c | 157,957$75,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,742.47 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Georgia Southern | 53c | 76,762$40,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,216.31 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia Southern | 51c | 74,209$38,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,096.84 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Appalachian State | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Georgia Southern | 52c | 14,371$7,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,898.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Appalachian State | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Georgia Southern | 52c | 9,500$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Georgia Southern | 52c | 8,853$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.84 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Georgia Southern | 52c | 5,950$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Georgia Southern | 51c | 5,020$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Southern | 50c | 1,627$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.79 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Appalachian State | 47c | 1,593$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.78 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Georgia Southern | 67c | 1,212$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.7 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Appalachian State | 29c | 1,185$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.08 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Appalachian State | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Georgia Southern | 52c | 834.62$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Georgia Southern | 79c | 820$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Appalachian State | 45c | 507.58$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.7 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Appalachian State | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Appalachian State | 50c | 412.57$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.19 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…ad3cbacked Georgia Southern | 52c | 336.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Appalachian State | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Appalachian State | 48c | 171.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Appalachian State | 49c | 126.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Georgia Southern | 51c | 119.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Georgia Southern | 53c | 93.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Appalachian State | 50c | 84.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Georgia Southern | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Georgia Southern | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Appalachian State | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Appalachian State | 48c | 44.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…b964backed Georgia Southern | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Appalachian State | 48c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Georgia Southern | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Appalachian State | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Appalachian State | 50c | 29.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Appalachian State | 50c | 29.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…57eebacked Appalachian State | 48c | 28.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Appalachian State | 50c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…5dd7backed Appalachian State | 48c | 21.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-9.5)this page
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian StateGeorgia Southern won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: 1H MoneylineGeorgia Southern won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 57.5Under won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 58.5Under won
- O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-10.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-8.5)Georgia Southern won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.