College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia Southern (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x973a6e63ea806a70ad019152651c43b893b774519eae1822cc161c02adba3da4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Southernof Georgia Southern, Appalachian State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Appalachian State | 49c | 2,865$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.09 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Southern | 51c | 2,519$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.25 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Georgia Southern | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Appalachian State | 48c | 427.77$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.33 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Georgia Southern | 55c | 291$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgia Southern | 43c | 278.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.01 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Georgia Southern | 52c | 224.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Appalachian State | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia Southern | 49c | 184$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Georgia Southern | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…0c2abacked Georgia Southern | 54c | 67.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Appalachian State | 49c | 42.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Appalachian State | 49c | 30.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Appalachian State | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-8.5)this page
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian StateGeorgia Southern won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: 1H MoneylineGeorgia Southern won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 57.5Under won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 58.5Under won
- O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-10.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)Georgia Southern won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-9.5)Georgia Southern won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.